心理追凶

F-16Vs headed to Taiwan region; expert says incapable of shifting cross-Straits air power balance_我的网站

天地争霸美猴王

一 |     

勒沃库森主教练哈维-阿隆索已经将德甲冠军拱手让给了拜仁慕尼黑,他的球队在联赛仅剩四轮的情况下,已落后领头羊8分。

二 |


排名第二的勒沃库森上赛季赢得了国内联赛和杯赛双冠王且未尝败绩,唯一的失利是在欧联杯决赛中对阵亚特兰大,而他们在刚刚进行的德甲联赛客场1-1战平圣保利,第78分钟被对手扳平比分。    

Illustration: Xia Qing/GT
    Illustration: Xia Qing/GTRecent media attention has focused on Taiwan region's purchase of 66 F-16V (Blk 70) fighter jets from the US, the first two of which are now en route to the island. A mainland expert said the induction of these jets cannot change the cross-Straits air power balance. Their performance is comparable to the PLA's J-10C, but against the likes of J-16, J-20 and J-35, their tactical value is limited. The real gap, however, is not in individual aircraft, but in the PLA's already mature air combat system.
Taiwan region is beginning to receive the first operational aircraft from its 66-jet F-16V Block 70 order, reported Defence Security Asia on Saturday. The first two single-seat fighters, serials 6727 and 6728, departed the US on August 17, 2026, transited through Fort Worth and Hawaii, and were expected to continue through Guam before reaching Chihhang Air Base, weather permitting.
In addition to purchasing brand-new fighters, Taiwan region had previously cooperated with the US to upgrade 140 F-16A/B aircraft to the F-16V (Blk 20) standard. That upgrade work was fully completed in December 2023, according to CNA on August 19.
Taiwan region previously claimed that the F-16V (Blk 70), in addition to featuring increased thrust, airframe optimizations, extended range, and conformal fuel tanks, also enhances beyond-visual-range combat capability and partial stealth characteristics. It is equipped with an Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar, providing multiple functions including air-to-air search, tracking, weapons guidance, electronic warfare, and communications, according to the HK01.
The F-16V (Blk 70) is the newest variant of the F-16 family, Song Zhongping, a mainland military affairs expert, told the Global Times on Sunday. The PLA's mainstay fighters have already been widely equipped with AESA radars and are at the same technological generation as the F-16V (Blk 70). In comparison with the J-10C, both fall into the light-to-medium fighter category and have a degree of comparability.
However, comparing to a heavy fighter such as the J-16, and especially when facing fifth-generation aircraft like the J-20 and J-35 that possess a clear generational advantage, the F-16V has no edge at all. Constrained by its original medium-weight, single-engine design, the F-16V faces inherent gaps versus heavy fighters in range, payload, and upgrade potential, Song explained.
The expert pointed out that what decides victory or defeat is no longer the performance of individual aircraft, but the entire combat system behind them. 
Modern warfare is no longer a matter of "soldier versus soldier, general versus general." The PLA's advantage lies in its comprehensively overwhelming system-of-systems combat capability. It is not necessary to shoot down an F-16V in the air, it can also be destroyed on the ground, by striking its shelters or cratering runways so that it cannot take off or land, Song said.  
The F-16V does improve Taiwan region's individual aircraft capabilities, but once integrated into a system-of-systems combat environment, its ability to alter the overall situation is extremely limited, said Song.
A Xinhua News Agency report in March 2026 described how a certain PLA Air Force unit organized its three mainstay fighters, the J-20, J-16 and J-10C, to conduct multi-day-and-night air combat confrontation training covering situation sharing, coordinated strikes, electromagnetic countermeasures, and other subjects.
The Taiwan regional authorities' attempt to rely on these F-16Vs to "resist reunification by force" is no different from a mantis trying to stop a chariot, Song said. 
From August 5 to 14, the Taiwan regional authorities conducted this year's "Han Kuang" military exercises. A CCTV News report on August 14 noted that the Taiwan region's Han Kuang exercises have become an annual farce. The entire exercise was plagued by continuous controversies.
The so-called "Han Kuang" exercises have always been a hollow, wasteful spectacle. The Democratic Progressive Party authorities are hereby warned: the "Taiwan independence" dead end leads nowhere and cannot be altered. The PLA remains on high alert around the clock, continuously enhancing its combat readiness against separatist and external interference activities. It is, and will always be, the solid foundation for safeguarding national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and for maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Straits, Senior Colonel Chen Xi, a spokesperson for the Ministry of National Defense, said on August 14.

30轮比赛过后,勒沃库森积64分,而拜仁则以72分位居榜首,他们在上轮比赛中以4-0战胜了海登海姆。

三 |

Opta超级计算机显示,勒沃库森卫冕冠军的可能性仅为0.2%,而与皇马传闻不断的阿隆索也承认争冠几乎无望。

阿隆索在新闻发布会上表示:“显然,从数学角度来说还没有结束,但我们知道机会非常非常渺茫。本赛季平局太多了,这就是原因。现在我们与拜仁之间的差距太大了。但我们需要现实一点。赛季还没有完全结束。”

本场比赛中,前锋希克在第33分钟接格里马尔多的任意球头球破门,打入了他本赛季的第18粒联赛进球。尽管德国国脚维尔茨自三月初脚踝受伤后首次首发登场,但勒沃库森未能再次取得进球。

四 | 圣保利抓住赫拉德茨基的失误,由卡洛-布哈利法完成破门,将比分扳平。

阿隆索谈到本场比赛:“下半场圣保利加强了压力,我们没能找到最后一传来打进第二球。然后我们丢了一个球,这对我们来说是不够的。事实就是这样。”

数据显示,圣保利配得上这一分,他们创造的机会预期进球值高于勒沃库森,分别为1.09比0.77,同时他们的射正次数也更多,达到5次射正,对比勒沃库森只有4次。

尽管这对阿隆索的勒沃库森来说是一个苦涩的夜晚,但他们将自己在德甲客场的不败纪录延续到了连续32场比赛,距离追平拜仁的历史最长联赛不败纪录仅差一场比赛。

Current article:http://hkk8ej.shuacanrandenmizhuohaoeiliang.buzz/b7rf4j/7jyhyp.html

Published on:22:39:46